February, 2004
PSYCHIC FRONTIERS
Loyd Auerbach
After my last two
columns about precognition and ideas of Time (see the columns on the FATE page
of this website
here), I thought it important
to zero in on one more point:
the
Skeptics constantly refer to psychics making predictions as if this is the only
psychic claim made by practitioners, and the only way people
can be
psychic.
How often have you heard
“If (fill-in the blank with the name of any psychic) is so psychic, why
can’t he/she/you predict the outcome of horse races,
the lottery, world events” and so on.
Part of the problem
here is of course that a) people who see psychics for readings mainly want to
know about their futures, thereby pushing psychics to focus their readings in
this direction and b) too many psychics make statements that they
can predict the Future accurately.
Both
factors tie in to make an easy target for Skeptics (debunkers and disbelievers,
actually).
As I discussed in
my October and December columns, there are many temporally related reasons why
precognition is often “off,” and psychics need to be careful how
(and how much) they claim any ability to predict the Future.
Of course, these same
Skeptics rarely have ever read a Parapsychological journal article (most have
probably never seen one of the field’s peer-reviewed journals), though
naturally there are those few skeptics and debunkers who are better
informed.
How people who label
themselves skeptical (which indicates doubt, not disbelief) without any
knowledge of the research on psi – other than what they get through the
skeptical publications – is somewhat of a frustrating mystery.
Of course, most people making
anti-psychic statements come at this from a belief-involved stance, whether
that is from a self-proclaimed scientific perspective or a religious one.
To the disbelievers,
psi simply does not –
can not – exist.
Forget any evidence.
For so many people who call themselves
skeptical, there’s no consideration of evidence; they simply do not
believe psi
can exist, and therefore any evidence or research saying it
could is flawed.
In fact, at a
recent college lecture, one of the students made the statement that
Parapsychology and its research have been “discredited” –
though he could not explain how or where he got that information from, or even
how the “discredited” label is applied.
Then, there’s
always the Holy Grail of skeptical arguments:
What about the Amazing
Randi’s “One Million Dollar Paranormal
Challenge?”
I might actually
title this part of my column “Why I no longer care about
Randi’s Challenge,” but honestly,
“So What!” sums up my feelings these days.
Over the last several
years, I’ve been somewhat outspoken about the specific details of the
rules of
Randi’s Challenge, often in FATE
[Note: You can read all about his rules on his website at
http://www.randi.org/research/index.html].
But recently, when being harassed by yet
another disbelieving type about the test, some kind of light – an
epiphany of sorts – went on in my head.
The individual made a statement, with a
question, that I often hear in variations from self-described Skeptics
(actually disbelievers):
“The
Amazing
Randi offers one million dollars for anyone
who can demonstrate something paranormal.
If psychic abilities are real, why has no one won the prize?”
Rather than
responding as I have in the past with a discourse as to why I don’t
believe anyone
will win that money, or why it may be foolish for anyone
to take the test, I spontaneously switched gears.
The following is just
an approximation of the conversation, with (yes, I admit it) some dramatic
license thrown in.
“What would
that prove?” I asked.
“Huh?”
said the Skeptic.
“Why is Randi offering the money?” I asked.
“For anyone who
can prove something paranormal,” said the Skeptic.
“If someone did
win the million, what would that actually prove?” I asked.
“Huh?”
said the Skeptic.
“I mean, if a
psychic won the million dollars, other than the psychic walking away one
million dollars richer, or garnering good will by donating it to charity, what would
that prove to the skeptical community or to Science?” I asked.
“That someone
could do something psychic,” said the Skeptic with some confusion in his
voice.
“Would it? If someone won Randi’s million dollars, would YOU accept that psychic abilities are real? Or even
possible?” I asked.
“Huh?”
said the Skeptic.
“Would
mainstream Science accept the probability of psi, if not the reality, if some
psychic won Randi’s million?” I asked.
“Uh … uh
… huh?” said the Skeptic.
“Would the
organized Skeptics accept that psi is real, or would they be more likely
to believe that Randi was simply fooled, scammed out
of his million? Would
you?” I asked.
I received a blank
stare from the Skeptic, then saw confusion appearing
on his face.
I continued to push
at him. “The fact is that
people who do not accept the laboratory and other evidence for psi that
already exists are unlikely to change their minds or their beliefs simply
because someone beats Randi’s challenge and
wins Randi’s money.
“In the name of
Science, many keep raising the issue of parsimony, of Occam’s Razor where psi is concerned. In
this case, wouldn’t the simpler explanation as far as the Skeptics are
concerned be that Randi was scammed out of the
money?
“In the name of
Science, many raise the issue of repeatability. If someone beat Randi’s Challenge once, how does this meet the criteria of repeatability? What does this prove?”
The Skeptic was
silent, more confusion and eventually frustration showing on his face.
I finished with
“If you can honestly tell me – I mean look me in the eye and tell
me honestly – that you would be open to psi’s existence if a
psychic won Randi’s money, I’ll give you
20 dollars** right here and now. It’s not a million, but to be honest, your opinion isn’t
worth that much to me.”
He walked away (okay,
he stormed off).
I’ve since used
this argument on a few others, whenever
Randi’s Challenge is raised like a weapon against the field of Parapsychology, and
against the existence (real or just potential) of psi.
To recap:
If someone wins
Randi’s million, he/she will be one million dollars richer.
However, as far as Science and the
Skeptics are concerned, the simpler answer to this conundrum is that
Randi (or his chosen panel of judges) was somehow
deceived.
In other words,
So What if someone wins the money.
It won’t change the prevailing
attitudes towards parapsychology, or the prevailing beliefs of most who waiver
to the disbelieving side of the center where psi is concerned.
As this is the case
(go ahead…prove me wrong, somebody…please!), we waste our time even
giving
Randi’s Challenge the time of day
(though I am somewhat in his corner where Sylvia Browne is concerned.
– see his website at
www.randi.org).
I respect the position of true skeptics, and
even the beliefs and opinions of debunkers if they’re honest about their
beliefs and opinions.
But holding forth Randi’s Challenge as the benchmark for proof of the paranormal is as silly as someone
telling Randi to “prove it does not exist.”
It’s not a
benchmark for Science, or even Skepticism.
So, why should we care?
“So
What!” I say.
Let me finish with
another observation.
In the
September 19, 2003
issue of SWIFT,
Online Newsletter of the JREF (James
Randi Educational Foundation) entitled “Yellow Bamboo Surprise, Fear of
Technology, and Answering Montague Keen…” (
http://www.randi.org/jr/091903.html),
Randi responds to comments by researcher Montague
Keen, who (Keen) mentions me and FATE in his discussion of
Randi’s Challenge.
Randi had this to say about FATE:
“For
those unfamiliar with Fate Magazine, from their own web page we see that they
publish stories on ‘alien abductions, angels, archaeological hotspots,
fringe science, ghosts, hauntings, life after death, monsters, paranormal
investigations, psychic pets, psychics, readers' personal mystic experiences,
reports of the strange and unknown, spirit animals, spiritualists, and
UFOs’ — to only begin. Not recognized as a scholarly journal, in my
opinion.”
Randi’s correct. In no way could FATE be labeled a
“scholarly journal.” It
is a publication for the general public. While I’m not sure where on FATE’s website Randi got the quote from (as with many
websites, FATE’s changes from time to time),
what Randi lists is in fact a good description for FATE’s content coverage.
However, this could easily be a description
of the contents of THE SKEPTICAL INQUIRER and THE SKEPTIC magazines, neither of
which is recognized as a “scholarly journal.” Of course, that’s my opinion.
**Note: Okay, I didn’t really offer the 20
bucks when this first happened. I
only thought of it afterwards. But
now, I sometimes do!
**************
August
2004
Loyd
Auerbach
Randi’s at it again.
Clearly what he
“knows” about folks like me comes from select TV programs –
which he apparently doesn’t pay close attention to – or from others
reporting back on what I’ve said on radio, and not from actually reading
anything I’ve written about ghosts or even listening to what I’ve
said in full context.
In his commentary of
8/20/2004
, in response to
correspondence from one of his website’s readers, he said:
Mr. Nash, though I've
no notion what an "electromagnetic meter" might be, I know it's hard
to believe, but this is the same sort of over-instrumentation that such
"experts" as ghost-chaser Loyd Auerbach dearly love, because it gives
them lots of variables in which to find significance.
Amazing that Mr.
Randi claims “no
notion” of what the device might be, given past commentary about
technology in ghost hunting.
Maybe
he’s just getting to that age where he forgets things.
As for my own use of such devices, he either has no knowledge of what I
think about technology in ghost investigations, or prefers to ignore what he
already knows.
If the former, shame
on him for not reading anything I’ve written about the limited use of
technology in investigations.
If the latter, well, that’s a whole different kind of spin.
I do not “dearly love” instruments such as an EMF
meter.
I do not use them because
they give me “lots of variables in which to find
significance.”
I use them to
help identify factors in the environment which can correlate to experiences of
apparitions and hauntings.
I use them
to also identify potential non-paranormal explanations.
For the most part, I find non-paranormal
sources for measurements with these devices.
In all situations, the technology in and
of itself can only identify an anomalous source of whatever we’re trying
to measure (magnetic fields, for example), but as they are not
designed to detect ghosts (nothing is),
the “significance” is in how (and when) the readings correlate to
the experiences of the individuals.
Loyd says he has been personally
informed by an actual ghost that these wraiths are "balls of
energy," so masses of meters and detectors would seem essential to such
investigations.
I don’t know where
Randi got the idea
I’ve spoken with ghosts directly, but this is not the case.
I have had my own experiences which have
been either kinesthetic or olfactory, but I can honestly say I’ve never
seen or heard a ghost (though I wish I could say differently).
What I’m assuming he is referring to is a case I worked on in the
mid-80s, and one of my favorites.
In that particular case, a 12 year old
boy had been reportedly communicating with a “ghost” on a daily
basis.
Our investigation included a
session with the boy acting as go-between for questions posed to the
apparition.
In response to a
question as to how the apparition could be perceived wearing different clothing
or even at different ages on a given day, the boy gave her response that
“as best as she can figure it out, she’s just a ball of
energy” and that any perceptions of her were a result of her essentially
projecting her self image to the witnesses by thought.
Magnetometers only measure one form of energy.
I have no idea where
Randi got the idea that because one uses that term, “ball of energy,”
there’s an assumption that the energy is magnetic or electrical or
anything else.
I certainly never
made that leap.
In fact, I’ve
made it clear that when we do measure any anomalous magnetic fields in
apparition cases, IF they can be correlated to the ghost’s movements
(based on the witnesses experiences), it’s more likely that whatever that
apparition is composed of is interacting with the environment and the magnetic
readings could be the result of that interaction.
This is only a hypothesis, and was in
fact suggested to me by a very skeptical physicist.
Oh, and by the way…human beings do give off “energy” –
infra-red, for example, is one
type of energy we emit.
Any draft, odor, bit of suspended dust, a
thump, or creaking, tips off these sensitive scientists that a spirit is
obviously in residence.
By this statement,
Randi makes it clear that
he has a) never paid any attention to what I’ve written or said about
experiences and investigations of apparitions, hauntings and poltergeists, b)
would likely never acknowledge that he could have been wrong about my position
regarding technology and even looking for normal explanations, c) doesn’t
care enough to learn my actual position, and d) doesn’t really care that
he’s mouthing off without knowing what he’s talking about (or
– he does know and that’s even worse!)
Well you know what?
Randi’s statements have pushed him
further and further away from a position of “debunker who knows the field
of parapsychology” to one of “debunker with faith that he’s
right and doesn’t want to learn any different.”
Once upon a time (only a few years ago),
Randi had called me to ask help in a legal situation – to see if I’d be
willing to test someone who was suing him, and/or to testify to the lack of
ability of this individual.
Because
it was a situation in which I believed
Randi was
being wronged, I agreed.
It never got to the point where I needed to get involved, as it happens.
But I was willing to help.
Now that it’s clear that Randi could care less about anything resembling alternative
perspectives – he’s only interested in his own “truth”
-- I can say that my willingness to agree to help was a big mistake, and one
I’d never make again.
******
Randi’s made yet another “dig” at Loyd Auerbach in his website Commentary
of
September 24, 2004
. This time, by
resurrecting a column of his from 10 years ago (1994) --- a column flawed by a
number of inaccuracies and assumptions. The most inaccurate statements relate to
how much Loyd Auerbach witnessed in his work with the late Martin Caidin (a focus of Auerbach’s 1996 book MIND OVER
MATTER) and a statement that Caidin refused to be
tested by Randi. Watch this space for a rebuttal.